here my central navigation site: all about weather@alien-homepage
last update: Jan- 02- 2011
Earthquake statistics - English- Start and explanations
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archived Earth quake Statistics of single years: |
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| EARTHQUAKE STATISTICS 2010 | |
| EARTHQUAKE STATISTICS 2011 | |
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| Section 3 : All about earth quake statistics: | |||
what are " Earth quake statistics?" EARTHQUAKES are widely regarded as absolutely unpredictable" events. I think they are predictable, as they result from gravitational planetary influences on the normally calm mass of the earth! In earthquakes statistics I want to compare planetary " constellations" resp formations with the earthquake events . Therefor you find two tables- one for the earthquakes- the other for the planetary courses with all informations about Full moon, nodes, eclipses and so on...Its updated sometimes weekly sometimes earlier or later In these graphic statistic you will find each day`s maximum recorded earthquake on earth in form of the highest measured amplitude of that day measured by NEIC . The data are taken from NEIC- If there a more than one above 6.0 on one single day, you find the column prolongued in yellow, green and blue color On each days column with the maximal amplitude there is a number , which stands for the number of all measured earthquakes of that day of a minimal amplitude of 2.9. on and higher Both data are used by myself to research/examine relations between planetary influences and the seismic activities. I plan to make an total statistic evaluation of meanwhile 8 years of complete data base, as soon as I have time or reason to do so, and will also provide the results on my pages here. Meanwhile I could draw some conclusions, that there is a relation, with those i could for example halfwayor luckily predict e a second Tsunami in 2005. and also with this years Tsunami prediction I was correctly inner about 1 month. >Out of these results I try to provide here in my weather forecasts-so far as possible - at least some winks, when earthquakes risks are to be expected and when they are not . I dont think, I am generally wrong with that , but also my problem is rather " how precisly this is possible , resp such a prediction can be . If you want to understand more of my methods and basic theory I am working on, you can find information through the links provided in the section or read the short version on this site here below! If you want to make further reasearch on that you are invited to do so! Please note: Its not possibly for me to provide exact data on which date or hour earthquakes or Tsunamis exactly will occure. But I have made some progress in understanding in which periods they will occure most probably. So- take these forecasts as a tendency report , that can tell for sure some about risky times and those which are not risky at all but not exactly to the date Read about my theory in the section "All about earthquake statistics" below! Nevertheless I can give you no guarantee on any of my forecasts! |
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el pico del Teide, Tenerife , | ||
| the ring of fire is the most active seismic region on earth: | ![]() |
graphic above: the ring of fire around the Pacific ocean,seismically, the currently world wide most active region taken from: USGS |
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| A short guide for the understanding of earthquake statistics. | Introduction for this and all related pages of earthquake statistics ( Please read before) |
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| What do I want to prove in these statistics? | |||
| Evaluations and analysis | Not made yet. This year 2007 want to represent a first evaluation of that project in an usual form of an statistic evaluation.That will of course provide evidence that there are at least coincidences and so far also possible relationships between the strength and frequency of earthquakes and volcano eruptions and some - but only special constellations | ||
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| Which data I use for the statistics? | |||
| astronomical data base : | I am using " Raphaels ephimeris of planets" which represents the actual planetary constellations | so called astrological calenders and tables do not represent the real current constellations of the planets. These usual astrology- calendars you can can find in 90 % of all publications as newspapers or journals. | |
earth quake report Data base |
All data are taken form the NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATIION CENTER in Coleradop ( uSA rund by the US government |
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| The four elements (1): | |||
| New Project. begun in 2010 | RELATION SUN ACTIVITY AND EARTHQUAKES ( resp.Volcano activities) Many had the idea, there could be a relation of Earthquakes to the sun`s activity. As the suns spots are an indicator for the SUN`s activity, I have added a GREEN CURVE of the suns spots to the daily earthquake map>The reason:, On begin of APRIL, a greater Sun- protuberance caused an immense Sun wind, carrying particles to the earth. Two days after there was a large earth quake in Baja California, and each day after more than 400 quakes above 2.9 were registered worldwide! First evaluations show, that Earthquakes do not directly happen synchroniously with sun spots or eruptions, but always 2 days later, when usually the particle winds of those "CME" s hit the earth. They therefore must be considered as the energy source which at least amplifies the earth quake energy or even triggers the quakes.>> the green curve displays the number of so called sun spots. ( index number left times 10>> 3,5 times 10 = 30 measured sun spots). Sun Spots are areas with higher gravity of fusion processes inside the sun , those rise up to the sun surface during periods of higher Sun activity. Along the magnetic field lines are bundled and reversed, what causes huge sun eruption ( coronal mass ejections= CME). The Sun activity ranges in a regular period of 11 years. The next " sun spot maximum will be in 2012. High energetic particles of those CMEs escape the Sun`s immense gravity and drive as sun winds also towards the Earth, where they can have many effects, such as the amplify Earth quakes. Typically, each sun spot causes forms out a more or less strong CME ( coronal mass ejection) or a protuberance ( sun flare) the blue curve represents s the so called " planetary A index. It represents the total of irritations in the Earth`s magnetic field , caused by those sun winds ( energetic mass particles) those effectively reach the Earth . A add this " Planetary a Index from Middle of April on, as it indicates more precisely, which sun winds reach the Earth and which pread from the S in other directions. to see what has more impact on the earth- the gravity distortions on the sun ( the sun spots) or the particle winds? An with three month of comparation, I would say: The gravity process ( when the sun spots form out and get visible ) seem to be two days earlier than the earthquakes. Therefore- if this will turn out to be equally in a longer evaulations, sun spots could become a very good indicator and therefor the best tool to predict Earth quakes- The earthquake seem to take place regularly about 2 days after the sun spots ( sun eruptions ) , resp. , when the sun winds of the CME ( very energetic particles) reach the earth. These particles winds impacting on the Earth must not generally or neccessarely be regarded as a trigger to any earth quakes, but they seem to have the capability to trigger, but- at least, to amplify Earth quakes .Unfortunately I have no data now from years with less sun spot activities. The Tsunami 2004 happened in a year with decreasing activity. Longer evaluations will show what evidence there is. |
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EVALUATIONS |
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| About Earthquakes | The earth is a massive body, which moves through the universe. As all matter/ mass contains rep. produces gravity , the pressure inside the matter of these cosmical bodies is highest in their center. During their time of existence, all matter undergoes a constant but unendless seeming process of contracktion. THat this process is possible the "energies " which keep all these subatomic particles apart from each other. resp. circling around each other must emerge , must be emitted: In that way the sun produces even the light, that warms us up. In less massive bodies this process produces rather heat , which keeps the earth core even fluid , while steady warm streamings rise up to its surface were they finally get lost radiate into the cold universe. If not- the heat on the earth surface would also be unbearable . |
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| INERTIA OF MASS | My theory of earthquakes is based on the so called "INERTIA OF MASS " : ( wikipedia:)"Inertia is the resistance of mass, i.e. any physical object, to a change in its state of motion" However . simply explained: if the earth would move alone through the universe- no other source would effect on its own motions. But the earth also whould then only be able to move out of its own energies. Going back the process also known as " gravity pressure" as described above, which finally lead to that what we call " Earthquakes" we would have conclude, that these energies would also emmit to the surface in a steady equal conform fluently way ( using the well known geolgiocal channels) but not in that abrupt way as we known that from earthquakes and also Volcano eruptions. The logically there must be another power that brings them out of their " state of motion" that they finally come up in such an irregular seeming time table And these powers can only be the influences of other planets reps cosmical bodies. That power could be energy as we know that form the sun. but the even more dominant power effecting between all cosmical bodies in the universe seem to be the gravity |
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| result: | There for I evaluated these earthquake statistics statistically , in which way during which constellations eartzhn quakes are harest and through the years this theory proves aver mor to be most probably reps true | ||
| possibilities of prediction | out of these eveluation I would surely propose that earthquakes are predictable. My methods allows me actually only to determine times and periods , when earthquakes would happen most probable. I have predicted the Tsunami in 2005 as well as I predicted the most heardest earthquakes in 2009 would opcure form 15 S eptember until 30 of October . I will to improve the methods, as far as I have certain conclusions, but this has its frontieres. What I have done yet is tio establish a kind of ground theory which has statistically to be proven before it can be better evekluated: Therefor you can sees this ground work with the earthquakes statiotsics of the recebnt 7 years on my homepage to get it more accurate I would have to refine the methods with very exact astronomical databases , which is just not possible for me , as long as would not I have not dozens of stuff making als these calculations for each single day, resp: as long as no established institute makes a software to calculate that automatically : I am just not able to make this all, it would cost all of my time . So if there is any institute is interested to develope my method up to such a software necessary to make that work easier I will not be able to get it more precisely
Therefor anyone should take my earthquakes forecasts on my weather sites just as estimation. I just cannot get the exact time. But I am sure by this method it is possible top predioct earthquakes maybe even uo to the minute and even it is possible to determine about the exact location when the next heavy earthquakes could strike the earth |
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ARCHIVES:
| Archivmaterial aus den Erdbebenstatistiken der letzten Jahre | |||||||||||
| ARCHIVES | PREVIOUS CONSTELLATION RESEARCHES | ||||||||||
(3) SCIENCE |
useful links to different issues | |||||||||
| ISSUE | EUROPE/ASIA | NORTH AMERICA | SOUTH AMERICA | AUSTRALIA | PACIFIC | AFRIKA | videos showing direct earthquake impacts (shocking!!): | |||
| EARTH QUAKES> | Science daily | |||||||||
| VOLCANOES > | ||||||||||
| TECTONIC> | EURASIAN PLATE | North american plate | South American plate | Indo-Australian Plate | PACIFIC PLATE | |||||
| Caribbean plate | NASCA plate | |||||||||
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| Caribbean Geology & Tectonics | ||||||||||
| subduction zones > | TransAtlantic Mid-ocean ridge | |||||||||
| SOLAR ACTIVITY> | Nas.com us. gov.-Sun Survey | Solar Terrestrial Activity Report | add infos: global tectonic plate moving ( nasa/wiki) | |||||||
| Solar Activity Monitor | SOHO- Solar and Heliosheric monitor / us.gov.) | |||||||||
| GEOLOGY | ||||||||||
| CLIMATE> | ||||||||||
| CATASTROPHY | Cataclysmic pole shift hypothesis | |||||||||
| TSUNAMIS > | Geology News ( scientific)current events:Tsunamis | |||||||||